Sunday, January 25, 2015

Economics Theory: Gold Will Appreciate 30% in Line with Swiss Franc, As Inflation Plays out in Fiat currencies





Gold Will Appreciate 30% in Line with Swiss Franc, As Inflation Plays out in Fiat currencies





Gold Will Appreciate 30% in Line with Swiss Franc, As Inflation Plays out in Fiat currencies - the Swiss Franc represents gold and a monetary standard that is more prudent than the rest of the western central banks which have been engaging in quantitative easing incrementally in an increasing fashion.



We will see the result of easy money, which has recently been bought to light by the Swiss (who quit the game mid hand exposing the rest of the players playing with extra cards in the deck!) flow into gold as more easy money chases finite money like gold and silver, the price will rise accordingly.



The Swiss Franc is 30% more scarce than the euro (Symbolically - or as interpreted by the free market), so in turn will gold be - albeit in a delayed fashion.


See more at: http://economicstheory.blogspot.com.au/2015/01/gold-will-appreciate-30-in-line-with.html#sthash.wxspY8tV.dpuf

Thursday, January 22, 2015

Speculators Looking for Havens from Slowing Growth are Piling Into Silver

Speculators Looking for Havens from Slowing Growth are Piling Into Silver

Silver headed for a bull market in its best start to a year in more than three decades, supported by speculation that slowing global economic growth will spur demand for havens.

Holdings in exchange-traded products backed by the metal have posted three straight weekly gains, while U.S government data show money managers raised their net-bullish wagers to the highest since August. An ounce of gold bought 71.4 ounces of silver on Thursday, compared with an average of about 58 over the past decade, signaling the white metal is inexpensive relative to gold.

Investors are returning to precious metals amid concern that U.S. growth won’t be enough to offset weakness in other countries. A collapse in oil prices has boosted the appeal of gold amid the threat of economy-damaging deflation, and prices this week topped $1,300 an ounce for the first time since August. Policy makers at a European Central Bank meeting Jan. 22 are expected to announce new stimulus measures.

“The drumbeat of stimulus across the globe is bringing people to silver and gold,” Dan Denbow, a portfolio manager at the $1.1 billion USAA Precious Metals & Minerals Fund in San Antonio, said in a telephone interview. “Also, the ratio between gold and silver got very, very inexpensive, indicating that silver had some catching up to do.”



January Rally

Silver for immediate delivery climbed 0.7 percent to close at $18.127 on Jan. 21, according to Bloomberg generic pricing. A settlement at $18.4064 would leave the metal up 20 percent from the recent closing low of $15.3387 in November, meeting the common definition of a bull market. Prices are up 15 percent this month, the best start to a year since 1983. It traded at $18.0197 at 2:24 p.m. in Singapore on Thursday.

Gold for immediate delivery fell 0.4 percent to $1,287.43 an ounce on Thursday, after advancing a day earlier to $1,305.25, the highest price since Aug. 15.

“Silver will benefit from all the stimulus measures and rate cuts being announced aggressively by the central banks,” Caroline Bain, a commodities economist at Capital Economics Ltd. in London, said in a telephone interview. “Also, the stimulus measures will at some point boost usage of the metal.” Bain said she expects silver to rise to $20 by the end of the year.

Consumption is forecast to grow to almost 680 million ounces by 2018, up 142 million ounces from 2013, as demand in industries ranging from appliances to solar energy will rise, CRU Consulting said in a report on December 10, 2014




Physical Market

A tighter physical market will provide some support to prices this year, Philip Klapwijk, managing director of Hong Kong-based Precious Metals Insights Ltd., said at a conference in London on Jan. 21.

The consulting firm expects global silver supply from mine production and scrapping to fall 2 percent in 2015, and physical demand for uses including industry, photography and jewelry to grow 2 percent. The physical silver-market surplus will shrink by 40 million ounces to 211 million ounces in 2015, according to Precious Metals Insights.

“Silver is rising along with gold as a hedge against uncertainties,” George Gero, a New York-based precious-metal strategist at RBC Capital Markets LLC, said in a telephone interview. “Also, some funds are betting on future growth with so much money being pumped into the system.”

Saturday, January 17, 2015

Economics Theory: Will China Pull a "Switzerland" on the U.S. Dollar?

Peter Schiff Poses and attempts to answer the question, Will China Pull a "Switzerland" on the U.S. Dollar?



 





#PeterSchiff  #China  #Switzerland  #centralbanks  #gold  #economics  #monetary  #policy




Swiss Central Bank Defends Franc Move Despite Turbulence



Switzerland’s central bank on Saturday stood by its shock decision to let the franc soar, insisting the subsequent turbulence rocking global markets and the Swiss economy since the move would eventually subside.






“This was not an easy decision... (but) we are convinced it is the right one,” Swiss central bank chief Thomas Jordan said in an interview published in Swiss dailies Le Temps and NZZ on Saturday.

The Swiss National Bank (SNB), he said, had determined that by continuing to artificially hold down the franc, “it risked losing control of its monetary policy in the long term.” Jordan’s comments came after the bank stunned markets Thursday with its decision to abandon the minimum rate of 1.20 francs against the euro that it had been defending for more than three years.

This Swiss currency has since gained around 20 per cent against other currencies and is currently trading at around parity with the euro.

The soaring franc caused panic on global markets, bankrupted foreign exchange traders as far away as New Zealand and was seen as a significant threat to Switzerland’s export-dependent economy.

The Swiss stock exchange’s main SMI index has plunged more than 14pc since Thursday’s announcement.

Swiss banking giant UBS said the SNB’s decision would deliver a severe blow to economic growth, slashing its forecast to just 0.5pc expansion this year from its previous estimate of 1.8pc.

The yield on Swiss 10-year bonds on Friday meanwhile entered negative territory for the first time, slipping to -0.031pc, meaning lenders will now have to pay to lend money to the country.

THREATENING ENTIRE SWISS SYSTEM: “The strong franc is threatening the entire Swiss system,” the Tribune de Geneve (TdG) daily lamented on Saturday, adding: “The future looks dark.”

Jordan said Switzerland’s central bankers, who unanimously agreed to scrap their long-drawn efforts to hold down the value of the franc, “were aware that this decision could have a major impact on markets.”

“The markets should gradually stabilise,” he said, admitting though that “it could take time.”

The SNB had been defending the exchange rate floor since September 2011 in an effort to protect the country’s vital export and tourism industries, even buying massive quantities of foreign currencies to do so.

The rate was introduced as the eurozone crisis sent investors scurrying to the safe haven currency. More recently, the Russian rouble crisis put renewed pressure on the franc.

Jordan insisted the efforts to rein in the franc were no longer justified, insisting the Swiss economy was in a much better place than it had been when the cap was introduced.

“We gave the Swiss economy time to adapt to the new situation. A period of three years is not negligible,” he said, stressing that “the currency cap from the beginning was supposed to be an exceptional and temporary measure.”

“It was always meant to be abandoned.”

SNB NOT ALL-POWERFUL: Now that the cap was gone, Jordan acknowledged that “following this decision, the economic situation in Switzerland is more difficult.”

But, he pointed out, “SNB cannot fulfil all wishes with its monetary policy. It is not all-powerful.”

His comments were unlikely to win over Swiss businesses bracing to see exports plunge and shoppers at home flood across to neighbouring eurozone countries for cheaper goods.

“Making products in Switzerland and selling them abroad is currently the worst possible scenario,” Syz analyst Jerome Schupp told TDG.

Thursday, January 15, 2015

Silver Investment News: Short Term Silver bottom?







Has Silver hit a Short Term bottom? 


Gold and silver mining stocks will likely bottom before the price of the underlying metal. Are mining shares telling us that a bottom is near?





#silver #silverbullion #silvermining #bullion #miningstocks #commodities